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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Tenerife — Barcelona

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Model prediction for 22 November

Tenerife59%
Barcelona41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tenerife are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 93:90 — 183 points in total.

Over 181.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Tenerife +4.1, Barcelona +4.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Tenerife — No. 4, 4–2; Barcelona — No. 2, 4–2.
  • Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tenerife 1 win, Barcelona 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Tenerife — Barcelona92.7–89.9
Total over 181.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 181.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Tenerife points
  • Barcelona points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Tenerife

  • 31.10away · Leyma Coruna89:93
  • 28.10Venezia82:80
  • 25.10Obradoiro CAB106:76
  • 21.10away · Frankfurt104:94
  • 18.10Baskonia82:77

Barcelona

  • 01.11away · Unicaja92:89
  • 30.10Valencia98:94
  • 27.10away · Bayern88:84
  • 24.10Basket Zaragoza99:81
  • 22.10away · Olimpia Milano89:81

Head to head

  • 13.06.2026Tenerife — Barcelona76:85
  • 11.06.2026Barcelona — Tenerife97:89
  • 09.06.2026Barcelona — Tenerife100:67
  • 17.05.2026Tenerife — Barcelona97:102
  • 25.01.2026Barcelona — Tenerife82:89

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsReal Madrid6601.000—
2, PlayoffsBarcelona642.6672
3, PlayoffsValencia642.6672
4, PlayoffsTenerife642.6672
5, PlayoffsBreogan642.6672

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →