NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Boston Celtics — Milwaukee Bucks

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Model prediction for 5 November

Boston Celtics80%
Milwaukee Bucks20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boston Celtics are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 116:105 — 221 point in total.

Over 220.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Boston Celtics play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
  • Pace: Boston Celtics 97.8, Milwaukee Bucks 99.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Boston Celtics 4 wins, Milwaukee Bucks 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Boston Celtics — Milwaukee Bucks116.3–104.9
Total over 220.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 220.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Boston Celtics

  • 03.05Philadelphia 76ers100:109
  • 01.05away · Philadelphia 76ers93:106
  • 29.04Philadelphia 76ers97:113
  • 27.04away · Philadelphia 76ers128:96
  • 25.04away · Philadelphia 76ers108:100

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 13.04away · Philadelphia 76ers106:126
  • 11.04Brooklyn Nets125:108
  • 09.04away · Detroit Pistons111:137
  • 08.04away · Brooklyn Nets90:96
  • 05.04Memphis Grizzlies131:115

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026Milwaukee Bucks — Boston Celtics101:133
  • 03.03.2026Milwaukee Bucks — Boston Celtics81:108
  • 01.02.2026Boston Celtics — Milwaukee Bucks107:79
  • 12.12.2025Milwaukee Bucks — Boston Celtics116:101
  • 07.12.2024Boston Celtics — Milwaukee Bucks111:105

Full record: 31 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →