Brasilia — Flamengo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brasilia are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.
The model expects a score around 81:80 — 161 point in total.
Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Brasilia +5.9, Flamengo +7.4 points in regulation.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Brasilia 3 wins, Flamengo 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Brasilia — Flamengo | 81.1–79.6 | |
| Total over 160.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 160.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Brasilia points
- Flamengo points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 29.05away · Franca66:68
- 27.05away · Franca71:69
- 24.05Franca74:91
- 22.05Franca67:50
- 19.05away · Franca67:76
- 16.05away · Brasilia69:72
- 14.05away · Brasilia96:88
- 10.05Brasilia90:98
- 09.05Brasilia83:66
- 06.05away · Brasilia80:85
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Brasilia — Flamengo72:69
- 14.05.2026Brasilia — Flamengo88:96
- 10.05.2026Flamengo — Brasilia90:98
- 09.05.2026Flamengo — Brasilia83:66
- 06.05.2026Brasilia — Flamengo85:80
NBB on the same day
- UnifacisaPaulistanopreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.3
- MogiCearensepreliminary89111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —154.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →