NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Brasilia — Flamengo

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Model prediction for 5 November

Brasilia55%
Flamengo45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brasilia are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 81:80 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Brasilia +5.9, Flamengo +7.4 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Brasilia 3 wins, Flamengo 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Brasilia — Flamengo81.1–79.6
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)51%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Brasilia points
  • Flamengo points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Brasilia

  • 29.05away · Franca66:68
  • 27.05away · Franca71:69
  • 24.05Franca74:91
  • 22.05Franca67:50
  • 19.05away · Franca67:76

Flamengo

  • 16.05away · Brasilia69:72
  • 14.05away · Brasilia96:88
  • 10.05Brasilia90:98
  • 09.05Brasilia83:66
  • 06.05away · Brasilia80:85

Head to head

  • 16.05.2026Brasilia — Flamengo72:69
  • 14.05.2026Brasilia — Flamengo88:96
  • 10.05.2026Flamengo — Brasilia90:98
  • 09.05.2026Flamengo — Brasilia83:66
  • 06.05.2026Brasilia — Flamengo85:80

Full record: 19 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.3
  • MogiCearensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —154.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →