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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Cleveland Cavaliers — Chicago Bulls

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Model prediction for 17 November

Cleveland Cavaliers82%
Chicago Bulls18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cleveland Cavaliers are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 126:113 — 238 points in total.

Over 238.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Cleveland Cavaliers without Peyton Watson: that costs the team about 1.4 points a game.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.

Facts

  • League table: Cleveland Cavaliers — No. 12, 4–3; Chicago Bulls — No. 26, 1–6.
  • Chicago Bulls: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Cleveland Cavaliers 3 wins, Chicago Bulls 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Cleveland Cavaliers — Chicago Bulls125.6–112.9
Total over 238.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 238.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Cleveland Cavaliers points
  • Chicago Bulls points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • 03.11Oklahoma City Thunder112:117
  • 01.11away · Milwaukee Bucks136:111
  • 30.10away · Atlanta Hawks111:114
  • 29.10Washington Wizards121:111
  • 27.10Minnesota Timberwolves127:125

Chicago Bulls

  • 03.11away · Philadelphia 76ers107:126
  • 31.10away · Boston Celtics111:125
  • 29.10New York Knicks127:133
  • 27.10away · Boston Celtics99:134
  • 25.10Washington Wizards120:124

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Chicago Bulls — Cleveland Cavaliers110:115
  • 20.12.2025Cleveland Cavaliers — Chicago Bulls125:136
  • 18.12.2025Chicago Bulls — Cleveland Cavaliers127:111
  • 09.11.2025Cleveland Cavaliers — Chicago Bulls128:122
  • 09.04.2025Cleveland Cavaliers — Chicago Bulls135:113

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceBoston Celtics752.7141.5
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceCleveland Cavaliers743.5712.5
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceToronto Raptors743.5712.5
12Indiana Pacers826.2505
13Chicago Bulls716.1435.5
14Brooklyn Nets716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →