NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Denver Nuggets — Phoenix Suns
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Denver Nuggets are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 119:110 — 229 points in total.
Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
- Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
Facts
- League table: Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3; Phoenix Suns — No. 24, 1–4.
- Phoenix Suns: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Denver Nuggets 5 wins, Phoenix Suns 0.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — Phoenix Suns | 119.0–110.3 | |
| Total over 229.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 229.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Denver Nuggets points
- Phoenix Suns points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
- 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
- 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
- 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
- 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135
- 03.11away · Golden State Warriors113:116
- 31.10Denver Nuggets120:127
- 27.10away · Oklahoma City Thunder114:125
- 25.10Golden State Warriors131:122
- 22.10away · Portland Trail Blazers83:124
Head to head
- 31.10.2026Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets120:127
- 25.03.2026Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets123:125
- 30.11.2025Phoenix Suns — Denver Nuggets112:130
- 26.10.2025Denver Nuggets — Phoenix Suns133:111
- 08.03.2025Denver Nuggets — Phoenix Suns149:141 OT
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Phoenix Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
| 13 | Los Angeles Clippers | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Boston CelticsOrlando Magicpreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —215.1
- Cleveland CavaliersChicago Bullspreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —238.5
- Washington WizardsMemphis Grizzliespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.6
- Brooklyn NetsPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.1
- Miami HeatHouston Rocketspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.8
- Minnesota TimberwolvesPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.4
- New Orleans PelicansGolden State Warriorspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —235.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →