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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Washington Wizards — Memphis Grizzlies

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Model prediction for 17 November

Washington Wizards41%
Memphis Grizzlies59%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Memphis Grizzlies are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 113:116 — 229 points in total.

Over 228.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Washington Wizards without Jamir Watkins: that costs the team about 3.6 points a game.
  • Washington Wizards play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Facts

  • League table: Washington Wizards — No. 15, 4–3; Memphis Grizzlies — No. 4, 6–1.
  • Last 5 meetings: Washington Wizards 2 wins, Memphis Grizzlies 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Washington Wizards — Memphis Grizzlies112.8–115.9
Total over 228.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 228.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Washington Wizards points
  • Memphis Grizzlies points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Washington Wizards

  • 03.11away · Orlando Magic103:94
  • 31.10Charlotte Hornets95:79
  • 29.10away · Cleveland Cavaliers111:121
  • 27.10away · Charlotte Hornets103:110
  • 25.10away · Chicago Bulls124:120

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 03.11New Orleans Pelicans134:135
  • 01.11Sacramento Kings136:105
  • 30.10away · Portland Trail Blazers124:103
  • 27.10away · Utah Jazz110:105
  • 26.10away · Sacramento Kings123:112

Head to head

  • 29.12.2025Washington Wizards — Memphis Grizzlies116:112
  • 21.12.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Washington Wizards122:130
  • 09.12.2024Washington Wizards — Memphis Grizzlies112:140
  • 09.11.2024Memphis Grizzlies — Washington Wizards128:104
  • 13.03.2024Memphis Grizzlies — Washington Wizards109:97

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceToronto Raptors743.5712.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceWashington Wizards743.5712.5
7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceAtlanta Hawks844.5003

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceHouston Rockets871.875—
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceMemphis Grizzlies761.8570.5
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferencePortland Trail Blazers651.8331

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →