NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
New Orleans Pelicans — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: New Orleans Pelicans 47%, Golden State Warriors 53%.
The model expects a score around 117:118 — 236 points in total.
Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 9.2 points a game.
- New Orleans Pelicans play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
Facts
- League table: New Orleans Pelicans — No. 19, 3–4; Golden State Warriors — No. 10, 5–3.
- New Orleans Pelicans: 3 wins in a row; Golden State Warriors: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: New Orleans Pelicans 1 win, Golden State Warriors 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): New Orleans Pelicans — Golden State Warriors | 117.4–118.4 | |
| Total over 235.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 235.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- New Orleans Pelicans points
- Golden State Warriors points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.11away · Memphis Grizzlies135:134
- 01.11Atlanta Hawks121:99
- 30.10Sacramento Kings132:120
- 29.10Denver Nuggets91:104
- 25.10away · Denver Nuggets135:141
- 03.11Phoenix Suns116:113
- 02.11Los Angeles Clippers124:112
- 31.10Los Angeles Lakers112:95
- 29.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves119:114
- 27.10away · Denver Nuggets134:114
Head to head
- 25.02.2026New Orleans Pelicans — Golden State Warriors113:109
- 30.11.2025Golden State Warriors — New Orleans Pelicans104:96
- 17.11.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Golden State Warriors106:124
- 29.03.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Golden State Warriors95:111
- 23.11.2024New Orleans Pelicans — Golden State Warriors108:112
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Phoenix Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Boston CelticsOrlando Magicpreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —215.1
- Cleveland CavaliersChicago Bullspreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —238.5
- Washington WizardsMemphis Grizzliespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.6
- Brooklyn NetsPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.1
- Miami HeatHouston Rocketspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.8
- Minnesota TimberwolvesPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.4
- Denver NuggetsPhoenix Sunspreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →