NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Miami Heat — Houston Rockets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Houston Rockets are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
The model expects a score around 114:117 — 231 point in total.
Over 230.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Miami Heat play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
- Houston Rockets play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: Miami Heat — No. 21, 2–5; Houston Rockets — No. 2, 7–1.
- Last 5 meetings: Miami Heat 3 wins, Houston Rockets 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Houston Rockets | 114.2–116.6 | |
| Total over 230.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 230.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Miami Heat points
- Houston Rockets points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.11away · Los Angeles Lakers117:138
- 31.10Indiana Pacers145:125
- 29.10away · Atlanta Hawks129:117
- 27.10Dallas Mavericks109:113
- 25.10away · Charlotte Hornets110:115
- 03.11Boston Celtics109:93
- 01.11Oklahoma City Thunder119:98
- 31.10away · Dallas Mavericks111:116
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Bucks132:100
- 27.10Atlanta Hawks120:110
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Houston Rockets — Miami Heat123:122
- 28.02.2026Miami Heat — Houston Rockets115:105
- 22.03.2025Miami Heat — Houston Rockets98:102
- 30.12.2024Houston Rockets — Miami Heat100:104
- 06.04.2024Houston Rockets — Miami Heat104:119
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Miami Heat | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Orlando Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Boston CelticsOrlando Magicpreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —215.1
- Cleveland CavaliersChicago Bullspreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —238.5
- Washington WizardsMemphis Grizzliespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.6
- Brooklyn NetsPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.1
- Minnesota TimberwolvesPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.4
- New Orleans PelicansGolden State Warriorspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —235.8
- Denver NuggetsPhoenix Sunspreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →