NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Dallas Mavericks — Oklahoma City Thunder
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Oklahoma City Thunder are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
The model expects a score around 113:116 — 229 points in total.
Over 228.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Oklahoma City Thunder play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
- Pace: Dallas Mavericks 104.3, Oklahoma City Thunder 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Dallas Mavericks — Oklahoma City Thunder | 113.0–115.5 | |
| Total over 228.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 228.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Dallas Mavericks points
- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 13.04Chicago Bulls149:128
- 11.04away · San Antonio Spurs120:139
- 09.04away · Phoenix Suns107:112
- 08.04away · Los Angeles Clippers103:116
- 06.04Los Angeles Lakers134:128
- 31.05San Antonio Spurs103:111
- 29.05away · San Antonio Spurs91:118
- 27.05San Antonio Spurs127:114
- 25.05away · San Antonio Spurs82:103
- 23.05away · San Antonio Spurs123:108
Head to head
- 02.03.2026Dallas Mavericks — Oklahoma City Thunder87:100
- 06.12.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Dallas Mavericks132:111
- 28.10.2025Dallas Mavericks — Oklahoma City Thunder94:101
- 24.01.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Dallas Mavericks115:121
- 18.01.2025Dallas Mavericks — Oklahoma City Thunder106:98
NBA on the same day
- Atlanta HawksMiami Heatpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.8
- Cleveland CavaliersWashington Wizardspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.5
- Detroit PistonsCharlotte Hornetspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.6
- Indiana PacersPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.7
- Toronto RaptorsOrlando Magicpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.8
- Chicago BullsNew York Knickspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —231.3
- Milwaukee BucksHouston Rocketspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —224.2
- Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriorspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —236.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →