NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Dallas Mavericks — Sacramento Kings

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 3 November

Dallas Mavericks77%
Sacramento Kings23%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dallas Mavericks are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 120:110 — 230 points in total.

Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud: that costs the team about 5.7 points a game.
  • Pace: Dallas Mavericks 104.3, Sacramento Kings 100.5 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Dallas Mavericks — Sacramento Kings119.8–109.8
Total over 229.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 229.5 (incl. OT)50%

231 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Dallas Mavericks points
  • Sacramento Kings points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Dallas Mavericks

  • 13.04Chicago Bulls149:128
  • 11.04away · San Antonio Spurs120:139
  • 09.04away · Phoenix Suns107:112
  • 08.04away · Los Angeles Clippers103:116
  • 06.04Los Angeles Lakers134:128

Sacramento Kings

  • 13.04away · Portland Trail Blazers110:122
  • 11.04Golden State Warriors124:118
  • 08.04away · Golden State Warriors105:110
  • 06.04Los Angeles Clippers109:138
  • 04.04New Orleans Pelicans117:113

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Dallas Mavericks — Sacramento Kings121:130
  • 07.01.2026Sacramento Kings — Dallas Mavericks98:100
  • 28.12.2025Sacramento Kings — Dallas Mavericks113:107
  • 17.04.2025Sacramento Kings — Dallas Mavericks106:120
  • 04.03.2025Dallas Mavericks — Sacramento Kings98:122

Full record: 25 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →