NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Denver Nuggets — Portland Trail Blazers

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Model prediction for 3 November

Denver Nuggets57%
Portland Trail Blazers43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Denver Nuggets are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The model expects a score around 120:118 — 238 points in total.

Over 238.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Visitors struggle at 1609 m of altitude: the model takes about 1.6 points off them.
  • Pace: Denver Nuggets 102.1, Portland Trail Blazers 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — Portland Trail Blazers120.5–118.0
Total over 238.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 238.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Denver Nuggets

  • 01.05away · Minnesota Timberwolves98:110
  • 28.04Minnesota Timberwolves125:113
  • 26.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:112
  • 24.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:113
  • 21.04Minnesota Timberwolves114:119

Portland Trail Blazers

  • 29.04away · San Antonio Spurs95:114
  • 26.04San Antonio Spurs93:114
  • 25.04San Antonio Spurs108:120
  • 22.04away · San Antonio Spurs106:103
  • 20.04away · San Antonio Spurs98:111

Head to head

  • 07.04.2026Denver Nuggets — Portland Trail Blazers137:132 OT
  • 23.03.2026Denver Nuggets — Portland Trail Blazers128:112
  • 21.02.2026Portland Trail Blazers — Denver Nuggets103:157
  • 01.11.2025Portland Trail Blazers — Denver Nuggets109:107
  • 22.03.2025Portland Trail Blazers — Denver Nuggets128:109

Full record: 33 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →