NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Denver Nuggets — Toronto Raptors

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Model prediction for 5 November

Denver Nuggets58%
Toronto Raptors42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Denver Nuggets are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 118:115 — 233 points in total.

Over 232.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Toronto Raptors play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
  • Visitors struggle at 1609 m of altitude: the model takes about 1.6 points off them.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Denver Nuggets 5 wins, Toronto Raptors 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — Toronto Raptors118.0–115.3
Total over 232.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 232.5 (incl. OT)49%

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Form

Denver Nuggets

  • 01.05away · Minnesota Timberwolves98:110
  • 28.04Minnesota Timberwolves125:113
  • 26.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:112
  • 24.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:113
  • 21.04Minnesota Timberwolves114:119

Toronto Raptors

  • 04.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers102:114
  • 02.05Cleveland Cavaliers112:110
  • 30.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers120:125
  • 26.04Cleveland Cavaliers93:89
  • 24.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:104

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Denver Nuggets — Toronto Raptors121:115
  • 01.01.2026Toronto Raptors — Denver Nuggets103:106
  • 05.11.2024Denver Nuggets — Toronto Raptors121:119
  • 29.10.2024Toronto Raptors — Denver Nuggets125:127 OT
  • 12.03.2024Denver Nuggets — Toronto Raptors125:119

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →