EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Fenerbahce — Baskonia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fenerbahce are clear favourites: 88% against 12% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 92:78 — 171 point in total.
Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Fenerbahce +3.0, Baskonia −7.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Fenerbahce — No. 2, 5–1; Baskonia — No. 19, 1–4.
- Last 5 meetings: Fenerbahce 4 wins, Baskonia 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Fenerbahce — Baskonia | 92.4–78.4 | |
| Total over 170.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 170.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Fenerbahce points
- Baskonia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 15.10Partizan Mozzart Bet74:65
- 13.10Zalgiris Kaunas99:80
- 08.10away · Panathinaikos74:92
- 02.10Dubai76:66
- 29.09Bayern100:76
- 13.10Dubai79:93
- 11.10Joventut Badalona93:73
- 09.10Besiktas84:92
- 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
- 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Fenerbahce — Baskonia84:71
- 02.01.2026Baskonia — Fenerbahce93:108
- 28.03.2025Fenerbahce — Baskonia82:77
- 03.12.2024Baskonia — Fenerbahce88:76
- 01.03.2024Fenerbahce — Baskonia111:96
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 5 | 1 | .833 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 18 | Anadolu Efes | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 5 | .167 | 4.5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Anadolu EfesParispreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.8
- Hapoel Tel AvivBarcelonapreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
- Lyon-VilleurbanneBayernpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.5
- Olimpia MilanoValenciapreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →