NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Golden State Warriors — Phoenix Suns

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Model prediction for 3 November

Golden State Warriors47%
Phoenix Suns53%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Golden State Warriors 47%, Phoenix Suns 53%.

The model expects a score around 114:115 — 230 points in total.

Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 8.3 points a game.
  • Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 4.2 points a game.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Golden State Warriors — Phoenix Suns114.4–115.5
Total over 229.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 229.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Golden State Warriors points
  • Phoenix Suns points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Golden State Warriors

  • 18.04away · Phoenix Suns96:111
  • 16.04away · Los Angeles Clippers126:121
  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Clippers110:115
  • 11.04away · Sacramento Kings118:124
  • 10.04Los Angeles Lakers103:119

Phoenix Suns

  • 28.04Oklahoma City Thunder122:131
  • 25.04Oklahoma City Thunder109:121
  • 23.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:120
  • 19.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder84:119
  • 18.04Golden State Warriors111:96

Head to head

  • 18.04.2026Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors111:96
  • 06.02.2026Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors97:101
  • 21.12.2025Golden State Warriors — Phoenix Suns119:116
  • 19.12.2025Phoenix Suns — Golden State Warriors99:98
  • 05.11.2025Golden State Warriors — Phoenix Suns118:107

Full record: 28 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →