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EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Hapoel Jerusalem — Aris

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Model prediction for 4 November

Hapoel Jerusalem78%
Aris22%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hapoel Jerusalem are clear favourites: 78% against 22% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 88:78 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Hapoel Jerusalem +5.2, Aris −2.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Hapoel Jerusalem — No. 3, 3–0; Aris — No. 2, 3–0.
  • Hapoel Jerusalem: 3 wins in a row; Aris: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Hapoel Jerusalem 4 wins, Aris 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Hapoel Jerusalem — Aris87.6–77.8
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Hapoel Jerusalem points
  • Aris points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Hapoel Jerusalem

  • 14.10away · San Pablo Burgos85:84
  • 06.10away · Cedevita Olimpija75:64
  • 29.09Rostock94:73
  • 18.03Turk Telekom90:91
  • 11.02away · Venezia80:83

Aris

  • 14.10Tortona88:68
  • 07.10San Pablo Burgos93:80
  • 29.09away · Le Mans87:74
  • 11.02away · Cluj-Napoca92:111
  • 04.02Neptunas83:64

Head to head

  • 14.01.2026Aris — Hapoel Jerusalem77:96
  • 28.10.2025Hapoel Jerusalem — Aris103:76
  • 02.01.2025Hapoel Jerusalem — Aris90:85
  • 16.10.2024Aris — Hapoel Jerusalem68:78

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Group A

Table «Group A», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsAris3301.000—
2, PlayoffsHapoel Jerusalem3301.000—
3, PlayoffsRigas Zelli321.6671
4, PlayoffsTortona312.3332
5Le Mans312.3332
6San Pablo Burgos312.3332
7Rostock312.3332
8Cedevita Olimpija303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • Turk TelekomFrankfurtpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.8
  • LietkabelisManresapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.1
  • Rigas ZelliLe Manspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.0
  • Cedevita OlimpijaTortonapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.5
  • Slask WroclawJL Bourgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.8
  • KK BosnaBalkanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.5
  • VeneziaSiauliaipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.9
  • San Pablo BurgosRostockpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →