EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Barcelona

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Model prediction for 5 November

Hapoel Tel Aviv65%
Barcelona35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hapoel Tel Aviv are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:85 — 174 points in total.

Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Hapoel Tel Aviv +0.3, Barcelona −0.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Hapoel Tel Aviv — No. 6, 3–2; Barcelona — No. 7, 3–2.
  • Last 2 meetings: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 wins, Barcelona 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Hapoel Tel Aviv — Barcelona89.4–84.9
Total over 173.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 173.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv points
  • Barcelona points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • 14.10Besiktas100:82
  • 08.10away · Valencia82:93
  • 01.10Real Madrid102:98
  • 29.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:80
  • 24.09Bayern84:86

Barcelona

  • 13.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:87
  • 11.10Valencia89:86
  • 09.10Zalgiris Kaunas81:88
  • 04.10away · Murcia94:100
  • 02.10away · Besiktas95:82

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Barcelona — Hapoel Tel Aviv75:80
  • 30.09.2025Hapoel Tel Aviv — Barcelona103:87

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsDubai642.6671.5
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsHapoel Tel Aviv532.6002
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBarcelona532.6002
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVirtus Bologna532.6002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →