Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Houston Rockets 51%, Boston Celtics 49%.
The model expects a score around 109:109 — 217 points in total.
Over 216.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Houston Rockets play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
- Boston Celtics play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics | 108.8–108.5 | |
| Total over 216.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 216.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Houston Rockets points
- Boston Celtics points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 02.05Los Angeles Lakers78:98
- 30.04away · Los Angeles Lakers99:93
- 27.04Los Angeles Lakers115:96
- 25.04Los Angeles Lakers108:112
- 22.04away · Los Angeles Lakers94:101
- 03.05Philadelphia 76ers100:109
- 01.05away · Philadelphia 76ers93:106
- 29.04Philadelphia 76ers97:113
- 27.04away · Philadelphia 76ers128:96
- 25.04away · Philadelphia 76ers108:100
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics93:114
- 02.11.2025Boston Celtics — Houston Rockets101:128
- 28.01.2025Boston Celtics — Houston Rockets112:114
- 04.01.2025Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics86:109
- 22.01.2024Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics107:116
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.4
- Charlotte HornetsDetroit Pistonspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.6
- Indiana PacersAtlanta Hawkspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —234.9
- New York KnicksBrooklyn Netspreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —223.1
- Orlando MagicWashington Wizardspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —231.8
- Philadelphia 76ersChicago Bullspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.5
- Dallas MavericksSacramento Kingspreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.6
- Memphis GrizzliesNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →