NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics

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Model prediction for 3 November

Houston Rockets51%
Boston Celtics49%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Houston Rockets 51%, Boston Celtics 49%.

The model expects a score around 109:109 — 217 points in total.

Over 216.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Houston Rockets play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
  • Boston Celtics play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics108.8–108.5
Total over 216.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 216.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Houston Rockets

  • 02.05Los Angeles Lakers78:98
  • 30.04away · Los Angeles Lakers99:93
  • 27.04Los Angeles Lakers115:96
  • 25.04Los Angeles Lakers108:112
  • 22.04away · Los Angeles Lakers94:101

Boston Celtics

  • 03.05Philadelphia 76ers100:109
  • 01.05away · Philadelphia 76ers93:106
  • 29.04Philadelphia 76ers97:113
  • 27.04away · Philadelphia 76ers128:96
  • 25.04away · Philadelphia 76ers108:100

Head to head

  • 05.02.2026Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics93:114
  • 02.11.2025Boston Celtics — Houston Rockets101:128
  • 28.01.2025Boston Celtics — Houston Rockets112:114
  • 04.01.2025Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics86:109
  • 22.01.2024Houston Rockets — Boston Celtics107:116

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →