NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Indiana Pacers — Atlanta Hawks

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Model prediction for 3 November

Indiana Pacers58%
Atlanta Hawks42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Indiana Pacers are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 119:116 — 235 points in total.

Over 234.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Indiana Pacers play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
  • Pace: Indiana Pacers 102.7, Atlanta Hawks 101.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Indiana Pacers — Atlanta Hawks118.8–116.1
Total over 234.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 234.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Indiana Pacers points
  • Atlanta Hawks points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Indiana Pacers

  • 13.04Detroit Pistons121:133
  • 11.04Philadelphia 76ers94:105
  • 10.04away · Brooklyn Nets123:94
  • 08.04Minnesota Timberwolves104:124
  • 06.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers108:117

Atlanta Hawks

  • 01.05New York Knicks89:140
  • 29.04away · New York Knicks97:126
  • 26.04New York Knicks98:114
  • 24.04New York Knicks109:108
  • 21.04away · New York Knicks107:106

Head to head

  • 01.02.2026Indiana Pacers — Atlanta Hawks129:124
  • 26.01.2026Atlanta Hawks — Indiana Pacers132:116
  • 01.11.2025Indiana Pacers — Atlanta Hawks108:128
  • 09.03.2025Atlanta Hawks — Indiana Pacers120:118
  • 07.03.2025Atlanta Hawks — Indiana Pacers124:118

Full record: 23 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →