La Union — Independiente de Oliva
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
La Union are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 92:88 — 181 point in total.
Over 179.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: La Union +0.6, Independiente de Oliva +0.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): La Union — Independiente de Oliva | 92.4–88.2 | |
| Total over 179.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 179.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- La Union points
- Independiente de Oliva points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 07.10away · Platense90:86
- 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
- 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
- 01.05away · Independiente de Oliva78:83
- 27.04Independiente de Oliva86:62
- 09.10Ferro92:97
- 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
- 16.05Gimnasia74:66
- 14.05Gimnasia78:76
- 11.05away · Gimnasia72:77
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union97:92
- 01.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union83:78
- 27.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva86:62
- 25.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva91:102
- 19.03.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva103:91
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Argentino | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Racing de Chivilcoy | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Ferro | 1 | 3 | .250 | 2.5 |
| 16 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | San Martin | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- PenarolSan Martinpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →