Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

La Union — Independiente de Oliva

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 28 October

La Union64%
Independiente de Oliva36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

La Union are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 92:88 — 181 point in total.

Over 179.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: La Union +0.6, Independiente de Oliva +0.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): La Union — Independiente de Oliva92.4–88.2
Total over 179.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 179.5 (incl. OT)49%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • La Union points
  • Independiente de Oliva points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

La Union

  • 07.10away · Platense90:86
  • 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
  • 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
  • 01.05away · Independiente de Oliva78:83
  • 27.04Independiente de Oliva86:62

Independiente de Oliva

  • 09.10Ferro92:97
  • 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
  • 16.05Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05Gimnasia78:76
  • 11.05away · Gimnasia72:77

Head to head

  • 03.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union97:92
  • 01.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union83:78
  • 27.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva86:62
  • 25.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva91:102
  • 19.03.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva103:91

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino321.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union211.5001.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsRacing de Chivilcoy211.5001.5
15Ferro413.2502.5
16Independiente de Oliva101.0002
17, Relegation play-offSan Martin303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →