EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Lietkabelis — Ulm

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Model prediction for 27 October

Lietkabelis64%
Ulm36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lietkabelis are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:85 — 175 points in total.

Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Lietkabelis −5.1, Ulm −7.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lietkabelis — Ulm89.8–85.2
Total over 174.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 174.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Lietkabelis points
  • Ulm points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Lietkabelis

  • 13.10PAOK95:86
  • 07.10away · BC Roma87:92
  • 30.09KK Bosna75:72
  • 11.02away · London Lions66:58
  • 04.02Panionios89:62

Ulm

  • 07.10away · Manresa89:101
  • 30.09Balkan98:84
  • 10.02away · Trento68:76
  • 03.02Buducnost90:103
  • 28.01away · JL Bourg66:97

Head to head

  • 02.01.2026Ulm — Lietkabelis79:89
  • 15.10.2025Lietkabelis — Ulm94:98
  • 19.12.2023Lietkabelis — Ulm94:90
  • 17.10.2023Ulm — Lietkabelis99:74
  • 18.01.2023Ulm — Lietkabelis78:69

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsBC Roma321.6671
3, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
4, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
5Ulm211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.9
  • BalkanManresapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —174.4
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —175.4
  • BC RomaKK Bosnapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.7
  • TrentoBuducnostpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →