NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Los Angeles Clippers — Miami Heat

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Model prediction for 5 November

Los Angeles Clippers55%
Miami Heat45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Los Angeles Clippers are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 118:116 — 233 points in total.

Over 232.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Los Angeles Clippers without Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller, Max Strus: that costs the team about 6.9 points a game.
  • Los Angeles Clippers play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Clippers 3 wins, Miami Heat 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Los Angeles Clippers — Miami Heat117.6–115.7
Total over 232.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 232.5 (incl. OT)49%

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Form

Los Angeles Clippers

  • 16.04Golden State Warriors121:126
  • 13.04Golden State Warriors115:110
  • 11.04away · Portland Trail Blazers97:116
  • 09.04Oklahoma City Thunder110:128
  • 08.04Dallas Mavericks116:103

Miami Heat

  • 15.04away · Charlotte Hornets126:127
  • 13.04Atlanta Hawks143:117
  • 11.04away · Washington Wizards140:117
  • 10.04away · Toronto Raptors114:128
  • 08.04away · Toronto Raptors95:121

Head to head

  • 02.12.2025Miami Heat — Los Angeles Clippers140:123
  • 04.11.2025Los Angeles Clippers — Miami Heat119:120
  • 13.03.2025Miami Heat — Los Angeles Clippers104:119
  • 14.01.2025Los Angeles Clippers — Miami Heat109:98
  • 05.02.2024Miami Heat — Los Angeles Clippers95:103

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →