NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Los Angeles Lakers — Miami Heat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Los Angeles Lakers are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 120:117 — 237 points in total.
Over 236.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Los Angeles Lakers play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
- Pace: Los Angeles Lakers 97.5, Miami Heat 103.9 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Lakers 3 wins, Miami Heat 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Los Angeles Lakers — Miami Heat | 120.0–117.0 | |
| Total over 236.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 236.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Los Angeles Lakers points
- Miami Heat points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 12.05Oklahoma City Thunder110:115
- 10.05Oklahoma City Thunder108:131
- 08.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:125
- 06.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder90:108
- 02.05away · Houston Rockets98:78
- 15.04away · Charlotte Hornets126:127
- 13.04Atlanta Hawks143:117
- 11.04away · Washington Wizards140:117
- 10.04away · Toronto Raptors114:128
- 08.04away · Toronto Raptors95:121
Head to head
- 20.03.2026Miami Heat — Los Angeles Lakers126:134
- 03.11.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Miami Heat130:120
- 16.01.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Miami Heat117:108
- 05.12.2024Miami Heat — Los Angeles Lakers134:93
- 04.01.2024Los Angeles Lakers — Miami Heat96:110
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.4
- Charlotte HornetsDetroit Pistonspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.6
- Indiana PacersAtlanta Hawkspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —234.9
- New York KnicksBrooklyn Netspreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —223.1
- Orlando MagicWashington Wizardspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —231.8
- Philadelphia 76ersChicago Bullspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.5
- Dallas MavericksSacramento Kingspreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.1
- Memphis GrizzliesNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →