EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 5 November, 22:00 (UTC+3)

Lyon-Villeurbanne — Bayern

Model prediction for 5 November

Lyon-Villeurbanne51%

Bayern49%

Model estimate at 06:54 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Lyon-Villeurbanne 51%, Bayern 49%.

The model expects a score around 89:89 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Lyon-Villeurbanne −6.9, Bayern −3.9 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Lyon-Villeurbanne — No. 15, 2–4; Bayern — No. 14, 2–3.
Last 5 meetings: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2 wins, Bayern 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lyon-Villeurbanne — Bayern		88.9–88.6
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Lyon-Villeurbanne points
Bayern points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Lyon-Villeurbanne

15.10away · Real Madrid92:111
13.10Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet82:84
07.10away · Paris98:96
02.10Valencia92:105
30.09away · Panathinaikos79:102

Bayern

14.10away · Anadolu Efes101:93
08.10Virtus Bologna87:94
02.10Partizan Mozzart Bet84:86
29.09away · Fenerbahce76:100
24.09away · Hapoel Tel Aviv86:84

Head to head

26.03.2026Bayern — Lyon-Villeurbanne93:83
17.12.2025Lyon-Villeurbanne — Bayern76:74
06.02.2025Bayern — Lyon-Villeurbanne76:67
01.11.2024Lyon-Villeurbanne — Bayern71:84
25.01.2024Bayern — Lyon-Villeurbanne64:76

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
13	Zalgiris Kaunas	5	2	3	.400	3
14	Bayern	5	2	3	.400	3
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	6	2	4	.333	3.5
16	Maccabi Tel Aviv	6	2	4	.333	3.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

20:15
Anadolu EfesParispreliminary
6337
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.8
21:00
FenerbahceBaskoniapreliminary
8812
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.8
21:00
Hapoel Tel AvivBarcelonapreliminary
6535
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
22:30
Olimpia MilanoValenciapreliminary
3169
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →