NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Memphis Grizzlies — Indiana Pacers

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Model prediction for 5 November

Memphis Grizzlies45%
Indiana Pacers55%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Indiana Pacers are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 119:120 — 239 points in total.

Over 238.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Indiana Pacers play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
  • Pace: Memphis Grizzlies 104.7, Indiana Pacers 102.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Memphis Grizzlies 3 wins, Indiana Pacers 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Memphis Grizzlies — Indiana Pacers118.9–120.5
Total over 238.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 238.5 (incl. OT)49%

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Form

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 13.04away · Houston Rockets101:132
  • 11.04away · Utah Jazz101:147
  • 09.04away · Denver Nuggets119:136
  • 07.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:142
  • 05.04away · Milwaukee Bucks115:131

Indiana Pacers

  • 13.04Detroit Pistons121:133
  • 11.04Philadelphia 76ers94:105
  • 10.04away · Brooklyn Nets123:94
  • 08.04Minnesota Timberwolves104:124
  • 06.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers108:117

Head to head

  • 02.03.2026Indiana Pacers — Memphis Grizzlies106:125
  • 26.10.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Indiana Pacers128:103
  • 21.02.2025Indiana Pacers — Memphis Grizzlies127:113
  • 01.12.2024Memphis Grizzlies — Indiana Pacers136:121
  • 28.01.2024Indiana Pacers — Memphis Grizzlies116:110

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →