Mogi — Cearense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mogi are clear favourites: 89% against 11% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 85:69 — 154 points in total.
Over 153.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Mogi +2.3, Cearense −10.3 points in regulation.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Mogi 3 wins, Cearense 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Mogi — Cearense | 84.9–69.3 | |
| Total over 153.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 153.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
231 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Mogi points
- Cearense points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 16.05away · Franca77:78
- 14.05away · Franca102:90
- 10.05Franca70:88
- 09.05Franca65:97
- 06.05away · Franca95:93
- 17.04away · Cruzeiro77:86
- 15.04away · Minas56:87
- 07.04Caxias do Sul83:107
- 04.04Uniao Corinthians94:93
- 22.03away · Franca71:116
Head to head
- 10.02.2026Mogi — Cearense88:76
- 10.11.2025Cearense — Mogi76:80
- 03.04.2025Mogi — Cearense75:63
- 06.12.2024Cearense — Mogi76:69
- 25.01.2024Cearense — Mogi93:75
NBB on the same day
- UnifacisaPaulistanopreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.3
- BrasiliaFlamengopreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →