Mogi — Corinthians Paulista
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Mogi 53%, Corinthians Paulista 47%.
The model expects a score around 79:78 — 158 points in total.
Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Mogi +2.3, Corinthians Paulista +4.2 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Mogi — Corinthians Paulista | 79.5–78.4 | |
| Total over 157.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 157.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Mogi points
- Corinthians Paulista points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 16.05away · Franca77:78
- 14.05away · Franca102:90
- 10.05Franca70:88
- 09.05Franca65:97
- 06.05away · Franca95:93
- 27.05away · Pinheiros76:88
- 24.05Pinheiros81:82
- 21.05Pinheiros98:84
- 19.05away · Pinheiros65:95
- 13.05away · Minas92:81
Head to head
- 19.02.2026Corinthians Paulista — Mogi82:75
- 23.11.2025Mogi — Corinthians Paulista67:70
- 15.03.2025Corinthians Paulista — Mogi93:73
- 18.12.2024Mogi — Corinthians Paulista70:72
- 19.01.2024Mogi — Corinthians Paulista70:77
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →