EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Neptunas — Basket Napoli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Basket Napoli are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:90 — 176 points in total.
Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Neptunas −6.7, Basket Napoli −0.6 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Neptunas — Basket Napoli | 86.4–90.0 | |
| Total over 175.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 175.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Neptunas points
- Basket Napoli points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10JL Bourg93:89
- 07.10away · Chemnitz84:93
- 29.09Trento73:76
- 11.02Bahcesehir Kol.86:91
- 04.02away · Aris64:83
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group C
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Basket Napoli | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Tofas | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Chemnitz | 2 | 1 | .667 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs | Buducnost | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 5 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 2 | .333 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Neptunas | 1 | 2 | .333 | 1.5 |
| 8 | JL Bourg | 0 | 3 | .000 | 2.5 |
EuroCup on the same day
- SiauliaiMaxima Romapreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.6
- ArisCedevita Olimpijapreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.4
- Slask WroclawTofaspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.3
- ChemnitzJL Bourgpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.4
- TortonaRostockpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.0
- Le MansHapoel Jerusalempreliminary17832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.1
- London LionsTurk Telekompreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —156.2
- San Pablo BurgosRigas Zellipreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →