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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Estadio Dr.Luis Augusto Derna

Obera TC — Racing de Chivilcoy

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Model prediction and result

78:84Missed
Obera TC70%
Racing de Chivilcoy30%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 78:84: the model's most likely outcome, Obera TC to win (70% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 70% fails in about 30 matches out of 100 on average.

Obera TC are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 84:78 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Obera TC −1.0, Racing de Chivilcoy −3.5 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Obera TC — Racing de Chivilcoy83.7–77.5
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Obera TC points
  • Racing de Chivilcoy points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Obera TC

  • 10.10away · Lanus58:67
  • 08.10away · Boca Juniors73:96
  • 15.05away · Boca Juniors78:86
  • 12.05Boca Juniors80:102
  • 09.05Boca Juniors66:70

Racing de Chivilcoy

  • 11.10Gimnasia72:78
  • 09.10San Martin126:123
  • 18.04Regatas76:93
  • 13.04San Lorenzo80:66
  • 11.04Obera TC91:84

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Racing de Chivilcoy — Obera TC91:84
  • 18.01.2026Obera TC — Racing de Chivilcoy78:73

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino321.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsRacing de Chivilcoy321.6671
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union211.5001.5
17, Relegation play-offSan Martin303.0003
18, Relegation play-offObera TC303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • La UnionRacing de Chivilcoy16 October · Liga Nacional
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.1
  • PlatenseObera TC17 October · Liga Nacional
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →