EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Olimpia Milano — Valencia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:95 — 183 points in total.
Over 182.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Olimpia Milano −6.4, Valencia +3.0 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Olimpia Milano — No. 20, 1–5; Valencia — No. 4, 4–2.
- Olimpia Milano: 4 defeats in a row; Valencia: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Olimpia Milano 2 wins, Valencia 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpia Milano — Valencia | 88.6–94.6 | |
| Total over 182.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 182.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Olimpia Milano points
- Valencia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 15.10Dubai97:101
- 13.10Real Madrid89:98
- 08.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv79:97
- 02.10away · Baskonia76:86
- 29.09Virtus Bologna87:85
- 15.10Maccabi Tel Aviv88:91
- 13.10Olympiacos97:102
- 11.10away · Barcelona86:89
- 08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
- 04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Valencia — Olimpia Milano102:96
- 23.10.2025Olimpia Milano — Valencia100:103
- 19.01.2024Valencia — Olimpia Milano84:72
- 09.11.2023Olimpia Milano — Valencia83:52
- 07.03.2023Valencia — Olimpia Milano84:88
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 1.5 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Dubai | 4 | 2 | .667 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 5 | .167 | 4.5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Anadolu EfesParispreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.8
- FenerbahceBaskoniapreliminary88121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.8
- Hapoel Tel AvivBarcelonapreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
- Lyon-VilleurbanneBayernpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →