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LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Auditorio Hermanos Carreon

Panteras — Diablos Rojos

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Model prediction and result

77:76Came true
Panteras67%
Diablos Rojos33%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 77:76: the model's most likely outcome, Panteras to win (67% incl. overtime), came true.

Panteras are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:84 — 174 points in total.

Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Panteras +1.1, Diablos Rojos −2.7 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Panteras — Diablos Rojos90.1–84.3
Total over 173.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 173.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Panteras points
  • Diablos Rojos points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Panteras

  • 03.10Dorados81:85
  • 02.10Dorados91:85
  • 27.09away · Freseros97:88
  • 26.09away · Freseros94:87
  • 22.09away · Soles77:76

Diablos Rojos

  • 03.10away · Soles43:86
  • 02.10away · Soles93:84
  • 28.09Astros67:86
  • 27.09Astros77:101
  • 22.09away · El Calor de Cancun86:83

Head to head

  • 25.07.2026Diablos Rojos — Panteras91:88
  • 24.07.2026Diablos Rojos — Panteras80:91
  • 15.09.2025Panteras — Diablos Rojos91:97
  • 14.09.2025Panteras — Diablos Rojos87:90
  • 19.09.2024Diablos Rojos — Panteras95:69

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFuerza Regia28199.6792
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPanteras28199.6792
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLobos Plateados281810.6433
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSantos281117.39310
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDiablos Rojos281117.39310
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGambusinos281117.39310

Season 2026 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next match

  • PanterasDiablos Rojos8 October · LNBP
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 93:92 in overtime. Model's score: —.173.1

LNBP on the same day

  • CorrecaminosAbejas
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 76:98. Model's score: —.178.9
  • El Calor de CancunLobos Plateados
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 77:68. Model's score: —.164.9
  • FreserosDorados
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 85:105. Model's score: —.173.8
  • MinerosSantos
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 96:75. Model's score: —.174.6
  • AstrosGambusinos
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 96:89. Model's score: —.161.2
  • SolesFuerza Regia
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 88:86. Model's score: —.163.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →