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EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

PAOK — BC Roma

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Model prediction for 3 November

PAOK64%
BC Roma36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

PAOK are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:81 — 167 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: PAOK −4.4, BC Roma −6.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: PAOK — No. 9, 2–1; BC Roma — No. 6, 2–1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): PAOK — BC Roma85.6–81.0
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • PAOK points
  • BC Roma points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

PAOK

  • 13.10away · Lietkabelis86:95
  • 06.10away · KK Bosna75:72
  • 30.09Manresa93:78

BC Roma

  • 13.10Balkan77:72
  • 07.10Lietkabelis92:87
  • 30.09away · Bahcesehir Kol.78:91

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsBC Roma321.6671
3, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
4, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
5Ulm211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • TofasNeptunaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.3
  • BuducnostChemnitzpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.3
  • UlmBahcesehir Kol.preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.8
  • Basket NapoliTrentopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →