VTB United League (basketball) · Tuesday, 3 November, 19:00 MSK

Parma Perm — Samara

Model prediction for 3 November

Parma Perm98%

Samara2%

Model estimate at 11:24 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Parma Perm are clear favourites: 98% against 2% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 99:73 — 173 points in total.

Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Parma Perm +6.5, Samara −18.1 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Parma Perm — No. 5, 2–2; Samara — No. 11, 0–3.
Samara: 5 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Parma Perm 5 wins, Samara 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Parma Perm — Samara		99.4–73.2
Total over 172.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 172.5 (incl. OT)		50%

231 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Parma Perm points
Samara points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Parma Perm

13.10away · MBA Moscow91:93
10.10away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg86:71
07.10away · Zenit Petersburg85:99
26.09away · Unics Kazan97:88
03.05Lokomotiv Kuban82:87

Samara

07.10Unics Kazan62:117
04.10Dynamo Vladivostok84:98
26.09away · Saratov69:77
22.04away · MBA Moscow61:79
20.04Nizhny Novgorod76:78

Head to head

08.04.2026Parma Perm — Samara76:65
29.01.2026Samara — Parma Perm74:93
22.10.2025Parma Perm — Samara103:81
11.10.2025Samara — Parma Perm57:107
29.03.2025Parma Perm — Samara105:69

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Lokomotiv Kuban	3	2	1	.667	1.5
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Parma Perm	4	2	2	.500	2
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Saratov	4	2	2	.500	2
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Enisey	2	0	2	.000	3
11	Samara	3	0	3	.000	3.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 98% will not happen in roughly 2 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →