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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Pinheiros — Minas

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Model prediction for 22 November

Pinheiros55%
Minas45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pinheiros are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 81:80 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Pinheiros +8.9, Minas +10.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Pinheiros — No. 2, 4–1; Minas — No. 1, 5–0.
  • Pinheiros: 4 wins in a row; Minas: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pinheiros 2 wins, Minas 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Pinheiros — Minas81.3–79.8
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Pinheiros points
  • Minas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Pinheiros

  • 02.11Caxias do Sul91:53
  • 30.10away · Osasco89:74
  • 28.10Uniao Corinthians75:63
  • 23.10away · Cearense98:63
  • 20.10away · Unifacisa65:81

Minas

  • 04.11away · Franca87:76
  • 04.11away · Goias3:0
  • 30.10Brasilia100:61
  • 29.10Sesi3:1
  • 28.10Pato86:65

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Pinheiros — Minas91:85
  • 22.11.2025Minas — Pinheiros77:81
  • 15.02.2025Minas — Pinheiros70:59
  • 30.10.2024Pinheiros — Minas67:77
  • 28.03.2024Minas — Pinheiros81:51

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsMinas5501.000—
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • CearenseFlamengopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.2
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —164.5
  • BrasiliaPatopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —150.6
  • MogiPaulistanopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —148.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →