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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Sao Jose — Corinthians Paulista

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Model prediction for 22 November

Sao Jose38%
Corinthians Paulista62%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Corinthians Paulista are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 80:84 — 164 points in total.

Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Sao Jose −1.6, Corinthians Paulista +5.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Sao Jose — No. 15, 1–3; Corinthians Paulista — No. 13, 1–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sao Jose 3 wins, Corinthians Paulista 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sao Jose — Corinthians Paulista80.2–84.2
Total over 163.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 163.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Sao Jose points
  • Corinthians Paulista points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Sao Jose

  • 03.11Cearense96:53
  • 29.10Unifacisa83:97
  • 22.10away · Bauru68:83
  • 20.10away · Franca59:90
  • 28.04away · Mogi70:81

Corinthians Paulista

  • 27.10Franca78:48
  • 23.10away · Brasilia92:104
  • 17.10away · Mogi73:84
  • 27.05away · Pinheiros76:88
  • 24.05Pinheiros81:82

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Sao Jose — Corinthians Paulista95:103
  • 12.11.2025Corinthians Paulista — Sao Jose78:64
  • 08.03.2025Corinthians Paulista — Sao Jose72:77
  • 03.12.2024Sao Jose — Corinthians Paulista83:78
  • 10.01.2024Sao Jose — Corinthians Paulista71:70

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
12, PlayoffsBotafogo523.4003
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333
15, PlayoffsSao Jose413.2503.5
16, PlayoffsPato413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • PinheirosMinaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.1
  • CearenseFlamengopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.2
  • BrasiliaPatopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —150.6
  • MogiPaulistanopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —148.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →