NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Sacramento Kings — Los Angeles Lakers

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Model prediction for 5 November

Sacramento Kings32%
Los Angeles Lakers68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Los Angeles Lakers are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 113:119 — 232 points in total.

Over 232.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud: that costs the team about 6.3 points a game.
  • Los Angeles Lakers play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Kings 1 win, Los Angeles Lakers 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sacramento Kings — Los Angeles Lakers113.0–119.4
Total over 232.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 232.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Sacramento Kings

  • 13.04away · Portland Trail Blazers110:122
  • 11.04Golden State Warriors124:118
  • 08.04away · Golden State Warriors105:110
  • 06.04Los Angeles Clippers109:138
  • 04.04New Orleans Pelicans117:113

Los Angeles Lakers

  • 12.05Oklahoma City Thunder110:115
  • 10.05Oklahoma City Thunder108:131
  • 08.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:125
  • 06.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder90:108
  • 02.05away · Houston Rockets98:78

Head to head

  • 02.03.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings128:104
  • 13.01.2026Sacramento Kings — Los Angeles Lakers124:112
  • 29.12.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings125:101
  • 27.10.2025Sacramento Kings — Los Angeles Lakers120:127
  • 29.12.2024Los Angeles Lakers — Sacramento Kings132:122

Full record: 26 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →