VTB United League (basketball) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Samara — Uralmash Ekaterinburg

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Model prediction for 17 October

Samara8%
Uralmash Ekaterinburg92%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Uralmash Ekaterinburg are clear favourites: 92% against 8% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 74:92 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Samara −18.1, Uralmash Ekaterinburg +1.5 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Samara — Uralmash Ekaterinburg73.5–91.5
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Samara points
  • Uralmash Ekaterinburg points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Samara

  • 07.10Unics Kazan62:117
  • 04.10Dynamo Vladivostok84:98
  • 26.09away · Saratov69:77
  • 22.04away · MBA Moscow61:79
  • 20.04Nizhny Novgorod76:78

Uralmash Ekaterinburg

  • 10.10Parma Perm71:86
  • 07.10away · CSKA Moscow85:90
  • 30.09away · Saratov80:75
  • 25.09away · Zenit Petersburg68:92
  • 04.05Zenit Petersburg61:78

Head to head

  • 15.04.2026Samara — Uralmash Ekaterinburg74:99
  • 04.03.2026Samara — Uralmash Ekaterinburg69:73
  • 18.01.2026Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Samara109:46
  • 04.11.2025Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Samara79:72
  • 12.02.2025Samara — Uralmash Ekaterinburg65:85

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow312.3332
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg413.2502.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey202.0002.5
11Samara303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 92% will not happen in roughly 8 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →