NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks

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Model prediction for 5 November

San Antonio Spurs75%
Dallas Mavericks25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 118:109 — 227 points in total.

Over 227.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Pace: San Antonio Spurs 99.7, Dallas Mavericks 104.3 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: San Antonio Spurs 5 wins, Dallas Mavericks 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks118.3–109.1
Total over 227.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 227.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Dallas Mavericks points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

San Antonio Spurs

  • 14.06New York Knicks90:94
  • 11.06away · New York Knicks106:107
  • 09.06away · New York Knicks115:111
  • 06.06New York Knicks104:105
  • 04.06New York Knicks95:105

Dallas Mavericks

  • 13.04Chicago Bulls149:128
  • 11.04away · San Antonio Spurs120:139
  • 09.04away · Phoenix Suns107:112
  • 08.04away · Los Angeles Clippers103:116
  • 06.04Los Angeles Lakers134:128

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks139:120
  • 08.02.2026San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks138:125
  • 06.02.2026Dallas Mavericks — San Antonio Spurs123:135
  • 23.10.2025Dallas Mavericks — San Antonio Spurs92:125
  • 13.03.2025San Antonio Spurs — Dallas Mavericks126:116

Full record: 27 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →