Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
San Lorenzo — Obera TC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
San Lorenzo are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 82:78 — 160 points in total.
Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: San Lorenzo −0.9, Obera TC −1.0 point in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): San Lorenzo — Obera TC | 81.7–77.8 | |
| Total over 158.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 158.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- San Lorenzo points
- Obera TC points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 09.10Gimnasia89:73
- 18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76
- 15.04away · Argentino70:80
- 13.04away · Racing de Chivilcoy66:80
- 04.04Boca Juniors77:83
- 10.10away · Lanus58:67
- 08.10away · Boca Juniors73:96
- 15.05away · Boca Juniors78:86
- 12.05Boca Juniors80:102
- 09.05Boca Juniors66:70
Head to head
- 17.02.2026San Lorenzo — Obera TC102:95 OT
- 01.10.2025Obera TC — San Lorenzo85:76
- 11.04.2025San Lorenzo — Obera TC85:86
- 25.01.2025Obera TC — San Lorenzo74:79
- 02.06.2024Obera TC — San Lorenzo80:93
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Quimsa | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Regatas | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | San Martin | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation play-off | Obera TC | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →