EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

San Pablo Burgos — Rigas Zelli

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Model prediction for 28 October

San Pablo Burgos58%
Rigas Zelli42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Pablo Burgos are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 87:85 — 172 points in total.

Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Pablo Burgos −6.0, Rigas Zelli −6.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Pablo Burgos — Rigas Zelli87.2–84.7
Total over 171.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 171.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • San Pablo Burgos points
  • Rigas Zelli points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

San Pablo Burgos

  • 11.10away · Bilbao87:96
  • 07.10away · Aris80:93
  • 04.10away · Forca Lleida94:81
  • 30.09Cedevita Olimpija85:81
  • 27.09Baskonia97:98

Rigas Zelli

  • 06.10away · Rostock86:87
  • 30.09Tortona86:84

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group A

Table «Group A», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsHapoel Jerusalem2201.000—
2, PlayoffsAris2201.000—
3, PlayoffsRostock211.5001
4, PlayoffsRigas Zelli211.5001
5San Pablo Burgos211.5001
6Tortona211.5001
7Cedevita Olimpija202.0002
8Le Mans202.0002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —176.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.8
  • ChemnitzJL Bourgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.6
  • TortonaRostockpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —156.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →