EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

San Pablo Burgos — Rostock

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Model prediction for 4 November

San Pablo Burgos68%
Rostock32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Pablo Burgos are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 87:81 — 169 points in total.

Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Pablo Burgos −5.0, Rostock −8.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: San Pablo Burgos — No. 22, 1–2; Rostock — No. 28, 1–2.
  • San Pablo Burgos: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Pablo Burgos — Rostock87.4–81.5
Total over 168.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 168.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • San Pablo Burgos points
  • Rostock points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

San Pablo Burgos

  • 14.10Hapoel Jerusalem84:85
  • 11.10away · Bilbao87:96
  • 07.10away · Aris80:93
  • 04.10away · Forca Lleida94:81
  • 30.09Cedevita Olimpija85:81

Rostock

  • 14.10away · Le Mans70:82
  • 06.10Rigas Zelli87:86
  • 29.09away · Hapoel Jerusalem73:94

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group A

Table «Group A», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsAris3301.000—
2, PlayoffsHapoel Jerusalem3301.000—
3, PlayoffsRigas Zelli321.6671
4, PlayoffsTortona312.3332
5Le Mans312.3332
6San Pablo Burgos312.3332
7Rostock312.3332
8Cedevita Olimpija303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.8
  • KK BosnaBalkanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.4
  • VeneziaSiauliaipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →