NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Sao Jose — Cearense

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Model prediction for 3 November

Sao Jose86%
Cearense14%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sao Jose are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:76 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Sao Jose +0.2, Cearense −10.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sao Jose — Cearense89.4–75.9
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Sao Jose points
  • Cearense points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Sao Jose

  • 28.04away · Mogi70:81
  • 25.04away · Mogi75:79
  • 23.04Mogi70:75
  • 18.04away · Uniao Corinthians88:97
  • 16.04away · Caxias do Sul68:65

Cearense

  • 17.04away · Cruzeiro77:86
  • 15.04away · Minas56:87
  • 07.04Caxias do Sul83:107
  • 04.04Uniao Corinthians94:93
  • 22.03away · Franca71:116

Head to head

  • 05.02.2026Sao Jose — Cearense97:82
  • 19.11.2025Cearense — Sao Jose77:86
  • 01.04.2025Sao Jose — Cearense84:71
  • 10.12.2024Cearense — Sao Jose55:75
  • 27.04.2024Cearense — Sao Jose90:66

Full record: 12 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →