EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Tenerife — Venezia

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Model prediction for 28 October

Tenerife38%
Venezia62%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Venezia are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 84:88 — 172 points in total.

Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Tenerife −5.0, Venezia +1.2 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Tenerife — Venezia84.1–87.9
Total over 171.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 171.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Tenerife points
  • Venezia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Tenerife

  • 11.10away · Murcia90:77
  • 06.10away · London Lions77:89
  • 03.10away · Unicaja80:75
  • 30.09Turk Telekom82:75
  • 27.09Basket Zaragoza80:81

Venezia

  • 07.10away · Cluj-Napoca92:98
  • 29.09Frankfurt104:72
  • 11.03Trento90:94
  • 11.02Hapoel Jerusalem83:80
  • 04.02away · Manresa91:75

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group B

Table «Group B», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsVenezia211.500—
2, PlayoffsMaxima Roma211.500—
3, PlayoffsLondon Lions211.500—
4, PlayoffsTurk Telekom211.500—
5Tenerife211.500—
6Siauliai211.500—
7Frankfurt211.500—
8Cluj-Napoca211.500—

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —176.4
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.4
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.3
  • ChemnitzJL Bourgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.4
  • TortonaRostockpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —156.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →