Tofas — Neptunas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tofas are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 92:85 — 176 points in total.
Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Tofas −2.1, Neptunas −6.7 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Tofas — Neptunas | 91.7–84.6 | |
| Total over 175.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 175.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
220 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Tofas points
- Neptunas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 06.10away · JL Bourg89:82
- 29.09Chemnitz82:69
- 04.03MoraBanc Andorra97:94
- 05.02away · Unicaja68:76
- 28.01Joventut Badalona91:76
- 13.10JL Bourg93:89
- 07.10away · Chemnitz84:93
- 29.09Trento73:76
- 11.02Bahcesehir Kol.86:91
- 04.02away · Aris64:83
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group C
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Basket Napoli | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Tofas | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Chemnitz | 2 | 1 | .667 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs | Buducnost | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 5 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 2 | .333 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Neptunas | 1 | 2 | .333 | 1.5 |
| 8 | JL Bourg | 0 | 3 | .000 | 2.5 |
EuroCup on the same day
- BuducnostChemnitzpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.3
- PAOKBC Romapreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
- UlmBahcesehir Kol.preliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.8
- Basket NapoliTrentopreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →