EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Ulm — Bahcesehir Kol.

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Model prediction for 3 November

Ulm23%
Bahcesehir Kol.77%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bahcesehir Kol. are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:91 — 173 points in total.

Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Ulm −7.3, Bahcesehir Kol. +4.7 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Ulm — Bahcesehir Kol.81.7–91.1
Total over 172.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 172.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Ulm points
  • Bahcesehir Kol. points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Ulm

  • 07.10away · Manresa89:101
  • 30.09Balkan98:84
  • 10.02away · Trento68:76
  • 03.02Buducnost90:103
  • 28.01away · JL Bourg66:97

Bahcesehir Kol.

  • 13.10Manresa100:88
  • 07.10away · Balkan101:60
  • 30.09BC Roma91:78
  • 03.04Besiktas72:82
  • 31.03away · Besiktas72:91

Head to head

  • 28.01.2025Bahcesehir Kol. — Ulm85:81
  • 13.11.2024Ulm — Bahcesehir Kol.72:80

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsBC Roma321.6671
3, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
4, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
5Ulm211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • TofasNeptunaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.3
  • PAOKBC Romapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →