VTB United League (basketball) · Thursday, 22 October, 19:00 MSK

Unics Kazan — MBA Moscow

Model prediction for 22 October

Unics Kazan92%

MBA Moscow8%

Model estimate at 11:24 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Unics Kazan are clear favourites: 92% against 8% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 93:75 — 168 points in total.

Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Unics Kazan +17.2, MBA Moscow +1.0 point in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Unics Kazan — MBA Moscow		93.0–75.3
Total over 167.5 (incl. OT)		51%
Total under 167.5 (incl. OT)		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Unics Kazan points
MBA Moscow points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Unics Kazan

07.10away · Samara117:62
04.10Zenit Petersburg95:60
30.09Dynamo Vladivostok117:75
26.09Parma Perm88:97
10.06CSKA Moscow76:102

MBA Moscow

13.10Parma Perm93:91
03.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban87:92
27.09CSKA Moscow65:82
02.05Unics Kazan63:74
28.04away · Unics Kazan63:83

Head to head

02.05.2026MBA Moscow — Unics Kazan63:74
28.04.2026Unics Kazan — MBA Moscow83:63
26.04.2026Unics Kazan — MBA Moscow87:62
10.03.2026MBA Moscow — Unics Kazan56:89
18.01.2026Unics Kazan — MBA Moscow82:71

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	CSKA Moscow	3	3	0	1.000	—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Unics Kazan	4	3	1	.750	0.5
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zenit Petersburg	4	3	1	.750	0.5
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Dynamo Vladivostok	2	1	1	.500	1.5
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	MBA Moscow	3	1	2	.333	2
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Uralmash Ekaterinburg	4	1	3	.250	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 92% will not happen in roughly 8 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →