NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Unifacisa — Paulistano

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Model prediction for 5 November

Unifacisa52%
Paulistano48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Unifacisa 52%, Paulistano 48%.

The model expects a score around 80:79 — 159 points in total.

Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Unifacisa +0.9, Paulistano +3.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Unifacisa 2 wins, Paulistano 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Unifacisa — Paulistano80.0–79.3
Total over 158.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 158.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Unifacisa points
  • Paulistano points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Unifacisa

  • 30.04away · Corinthians Paulista71:81
  • 26.04Corinthians Paulista73:76
  • 25.04Corinthians Paulista79:69
  • 21.04away · Corinthians Paulista78:88
  • 15.04away · Cruzeiro101:91

Paulistano

  • 10.05Pinheiros74:84
  • 08.05Pinheiros68:76
  • 05.05away · Pinheiros92:101
  • 30.04Bauru71:62
  • 27.04away · Bauru75:88

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Paulistano — Unifacisa109:102 OT
  • 19.12.2025Unifacisa — Paulistano82:70
  • 28.02.2025Paulistano — Unifacisa75:77
  • 15.11.2024Unifacisa — Paulistano69:86
  • 09.02.2024Unifacisa — Paulistano69:75

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • MogiCearensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —154.1
  • BrasiliaFlamengopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →