Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Baskonia — Manresa

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Model prediction for 1 November

Baskonia93%
Manresa7%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Baskonia are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 104:87 — 191 point in total.

Over 190.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Baskonia +7.7, Manresa −6.5 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Baskonia — Manresa104.2–86.6
Total over 190.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 190.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Baskonia points
  • Manresa points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Baskonia

  • 11.10Joventut Badalona93:73
  • 09.10Besiktas84:92
  • 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
  • 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76
  • 29.09away · Valencia88:111

Manresa

  • 13.10away · Bahcesehir Kol.88:100
  • 11.10away · Real Madrid83:120
  • 07.10Ulm101:89
  • 03.10Breogan95:101
  • 30.09away · PAOK78:93

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026Manresa — Baskonia83:88
  • 18.01.2026Baskonia — Manresa130:85
  • 22.03.2025Baskonia — Manresa90:84
  • 29.12.2024Manresa — Baskonia80:82
  • 14.01.2024Manresa — Baskonia82:90

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBaskonia3301.000—
2, PlayoffsReal Madrid3301.000—
17, RelegationJoventut Badalona202.0002.5
18, RelegationManresa303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →