NBA (National Basketball Association) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Boston Celtics — Brooklyn Nets

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Model prediction for 28 October

Boston Celtics83%
Brooklyn Nets17%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boston Celtics are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 116:104 — 220 points in total.

Over 219.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Boston Celtics play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
  • Brooklyn Nets play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Boston Celtics — Brooklyn Nets116.5–103.7
Total over 219.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 219.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Boston Celtics

  • 03.05Philadelphia 76ers100:109
  • 01.05away · Philadelphia 76ers93:106
  • 29.04Philadelphia 76ers97:113
  • 27.04away · Philadelphia 76ers128:96
  • 25.04away · Philadelphia 76ers108:100

Brooklyn Nets

  • 13.04away · Toronto Raptors101:136
  • 11.04away · Milwaukee Bucks108:125
  • 10.04Indiana Pacers94:123
  • 08.04Milwaukee Bucks96:90
  • 05.04Washington Wizards121:115

Head to head

  • 28.02.2026Boston Celtics — Brooklyn Nets148:111
  • 24.01.2026Brooklyn Nets — Boston Celtics126:130 OT
  • 22.11.2025Boston Celtics — Brooklyn Nets105:113
  • 19.11.2025Brooklyn Nets — Boston Celtics99:113
  • 19.03.2025Boston Celtics — Brooklyn Nets104:96

Full record: 36 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →