Caxias do Sul — Minas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minas are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 77:82 — 160 points in total.
Over 159.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Caxias do Sul −3.0, Minas +5.0 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Caxias do Sul — Minas | 77.5–82.5 | |
| Total over 159.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 159.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Caxias do Sul points
- Minas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 01.05away · Brasilia70:71
- 28.04Brasilia66:63
- 25.04Brasilia70:78
- 23.04away · Brasilia64:73
- 18.04Corinthians Paulista79:92
- 13.05Corinthians Paulista81:92
- 10.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:103
- 08.05away · Corinthians Paulista97:91
- 05.05Corinthians Paulista90:100
- 30.04Cruzeiro103:93
Head to head
- 20.03.2026Minas — Caxias do Sul81:75
- 04.12.2025Caxias do Sul — Minas72:88
- 27.03.2025Minas — Caxias do Sul88:70
- 16.11.2024Caxias do Sul — Minas58:78
- 11.04.2024Caxias do Sul — Minas88:99
NBB on the same day
- CearenseOsascopreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.0
- FlamengoBotafogopreliminary9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →