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LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Diablos Rojos — Mineros

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Model prediction for 16 October

Diablos Rojos51%
Mineros49%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Diablos Rojos 51%, Mineros 49%.

The model expects a score around 85:85 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Diablos Rojos −2.4, Mineros −1.2 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Diablos Rojos — Mineros85.4–85.0
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Diablos Rojos points
  • Mineros points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Diablos Rojos

  • 13.10away · Mineros86:97
  • 12.10away · Mineros98:92
  • 08.10away · Panteras92:93
  • 07.10away · Panteras76:77
  • 03.10away · Soles43:86

Mineros

  • 13.10Diablos Rojos97:86
  • 12.10Diablos Rojos92:98
  • 08.10Santos82:93
  • 07.10Santos96:75
  • 03.10Abejas74:81

Head to head

  • 13.10.2026Mineros — Diablos Rojos97:86
  • 12.10.2026Mineros — Diablos Rojos92:98
  • 11.09.2026Mineros — Diablos Rojos98:85
  • 10.09.2026Mineros — Diablos Rojos75:81
  • 16.08.2025Mineros — Diablos Rojos85:92

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDorados281711.6074
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMineros281513.5366
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAbejas281216.4299
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSantos281117.39310
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDiablos Rojos281117.39310
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGambusinos281117.39310

Season 2026 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

LNBP on the same day

  • SantosAbejas
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —175.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →